Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.003712 0.003892 0.004076 0.004278 0.004495 0.004721 0.004974
2025-11-02 0.003380 0.003645 0.003926 0.004249 0.004610 0.005004 0.005467
2025-11-09 0.003231 0.003552 0.003903 0.004318 0.004798 0.005338 0.005999
2025-11-16 0.003059 0.003412 0.003808 0.004285 0.004852 0.005508 0.006334
2025-11-23 0.002933 0.003313 0.003745 0.004279 0.004926 0.005693 0.006687
2025-11-30 0.002796 0.003191 0.003648 0.004220 0.004927 0.005784 0.006920
2025-12-07 0.002681 0.003088 0.003565 0.004171 0.004933 0.005875 0.007152
2025-12-14 0.002600 0.003021 0.003520 0.004164 0.004988 0.006024 0.007461
2025-12-21 0.002472 0.002891 0.003393 0.004048 0.004895 0.005978 0.007505
2025-12-28 0.002416 0.002847 0.003368 0.004058 0.004964 0.006142 0.007837
2026-01-04 0.002379 0.002824 0.003369 0.004099 0.005073 0.006362 0.008257
2026-01-11 0.002312 0.002762 0.003317 0.004069 0.005084 0.006447 0.008488
2026-01-18 0.002253 0.002707 0.003274 0.004049 0.005109 0.006553 0.008758
2026-01-25 0.002193 0.002651 0.003227 0.004021 0.005122 0.006643 0.009006
2026-02-01 0.002176 0.002648 0.003247 0.004085 0.005262 0.006918 0.009550
2026-02-08 0.002122 0.002595 0.003201 0.004055 0.005268 0.006999 0.009796
2026-02-15 0.002080 0.002557 0.003173 0.004049 0.005308 0.007128 0.010125
2026-02-22 0.002022 0.002496 0.003112 0.003994 0.005274 0.007146 0.010272
2026-03-01 0.001971 0.002443 0.003059 0.003949 0.005252 0.007179 0.010447
2026-03-08 0.001936 0.002411 0.003034 0.003943 0.005286 0.007299 0.010770
2026-03-15 0.001866 0.002330 0.002941 0.003835 0.005165 0.007171 0.010666
2026-03-22 0.001841 0.002308 0.002929 0.003844 0.005220 0.007323 0.011050
2026-03-29 0.001827 0.002302 0.002937 0.003883 0.005320 0.007549 0.011579